Do Canadians want an election in the next two years?

May 13, 2025

On April 28th, the Liberals fell just short of a majority and will be the leading party in a minority government as has been the case in the previous two federal elections. They’ll likely continue to govern with support from either one of the third parties that are unlikely to desire a near term election given the need to rebuild especially in the case of the New Democrats. At this juncture the prospects for an election in the next two years seem unlikely as a new poll conducted by Leger for the Association for Canadian Studies reveals that most NDP and Bloc voters do not want an election in the next two years. The poll further reveals that despite what ended largely as a two party contest, Canadians do not prefer a two party system as is the case de facto in the United States. The survey also asks whether Canadians were happy with the election outcome. Not surprisingly a majority of Conservative voters were unhappy with the outcome and expected the party to obtain more seats. NDP voters were happy with the outcome despite the considerable loss in the number of seats. On another question as to whether voters thought that their parties would do better, all indeed did. It was the Bloc Quebecois for whom the results were somewhat more in line with their expectations of their voters in terms of the number of seats the party secured. These findings emerge from a survey conducted by Leger Marketing for the Association for Canadian Studies over the period May 1-3, 2025 with1626 respondents in Canada. A margin of error cannot be associated with a non-probability sample in a panel survey for comparison purposes. A probability sample of 1626 respondents would have a margin of error of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20.